Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000157 0.000174 0.000192 0.000213 0.000236 0.000262 0.000292
2025-08-03 0.000127 0.000152 0.000181 0.000217 0.000261 0.000314 0.000382
2025-08-10 0.000106 0.000134 0.000168 0.000214 0.000274 0.000350 0.000456
2025-08-17 0.000092 0.000121 0.000159 0.000212 0.000286 0.000385 0.000530
2025-08-24 0.000081 0.000110 0.000150 0.000209 0.000293 0.000412 0.000596
2025-08-31 0.000071 0.000100 0.000140 0.000202 0.000294 0.000430 0.000650
2025-09-07 0.000065 0.000094 0.000136 0.000202 0.000305 0.000463 0.000729
2025-09-14 0.000061 0.000090 0.000134 0.000205 0.000320 0.000503 0.000826
2025-09-21 0.000055 0.000084 0.000128 0.000201 0.000324 0.000525 0.000893
2025-09-28 0.000050 0.000077 0.000120 0.000194 0.000320 0.000533 0.000938
2025-10-05 0.000047 0.000075 0.000119 0.000196 0.000333 0.000573 0.001043
2025-10-12 0.000045 0.000073 0.000119 0.000201 0.000350 0.000620 0.001169
2025-10-19 0.000042 0.000069 0.000115 0.000199 0.000357 0.000652 0.001274
2025-10-26 0.000040 0.000067 0.000114 0.000202 0.000373 0.000703 0.001425
2025-11-02 0.000037 0.000063 0.000110 0.000200 0.000378 0.000732 0.001536
2025-11-09 0.000034 0.000060 0.000106 0.000198 0.000384 0.000766 0.001663
2025-11-16 0.000032 0.000057 0.000102 0.000194 0.000387 0.000791 0.001772
2025-11-23 0.000029 0.000053 0.000097 0.000188 0.000382 0.000801 0.001849
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000051 0.000095 0.000188 0.000392 0.000843 0.002011
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000050 0.000095 0.000191 0.000408 0.000902 0.002223
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000048 0.000091 0.000188 0.000408 0.000924 0.002347
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000044 0.000087 0.000181 0.000400 0.000925 0.002410
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000044 0.000086 0.000183 0.000414 0.000983 0.002644